Oil stays near seven-month highs ahead of U.S.–Iran talks, with tariff uncertainty clouding the outlook.

  • Oil prices edged higher during Asian trade on Tuesday, remaining just under the seven-month peaks reached in the prior session, as markets looked ahead to upcoming U.S.–Iran discussions later this week. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade tariffs continued to temper investor sentiment.
  • At 22:22 ET (03:22 GMT), Brent crude futures climbed 0.8% to $72.04 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures also advanced 0.8% to $66.81 per barrel.
  • Both benchmarks had approached seven-month highs in the previous session before ending slightly lower.

Market participants are holding back ahead of US – Iran talks scheduled for later this week.

Markets stayed tense ahead of a third round of nuclear talks between Washington and Tehran set for Thursday in Geneva. Strains have persisted since last week amid indications that the situation could escalate. The U.S. pulled some non-essential embassy staff from Beirut, underscoring concerns that diplomacy might collapse and spark conflict.

President Donald Trump warned in a social media post on Monday that it would be a “very bad day” for Iran if no agreement is reached.

“In the event of a deal, we would likely see a significant unwinding of the risk premium currently built into prices — though securing such an agreement is far from straightforward,” analysts at ING noted.

A failure in negotiations could heighten worries about stricter sanctions enforcement or potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial corridor for global crude shipments. Fears of a possible military clash contributed to a 6% surge in oil prices last week.

Tariff tensions under Donald Trump weigh on demand outlook

Oil markets are also contending with wider macro uncertainty after the Supreme Court of the United States invalidated an earlier round of tariffs introduced under emergency powers.

Donald Trump has since sought to reinstate duties of up to 15% using alternative legal provisions and cautioned that countries that “play games” in trade negotiations with the U.S. could be hit with steeper tariffs.

The risk of renewed trade tensions has darkened the global growth and fuel demand outlook, limiting oil’s advance even as geopolitical concerns continue to lend support to prices.

Sources: Ayushman Ojha

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