Tag: stock

  • U.S. stock futures edge up following a Wall Street sell-off driven by concerns over Greenland-related tariffs

    U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Tuesday evening after Wall Street suffered sharp losses amid rising geopolitical tensions linked to President Donald Trump’s demands regarding Greenland. Netflix was a notable mover in after-hours trading, sliding nearly 5% after the streaming company issued guidance that disappointed the market.

    Futures stabilized following Wall Street’s worst session in three months, as investors grew uneasy over President Trump’s push to acquire Greenland despite resistance from European leaders. S&P 500 futures gained 0.1% to 6,838.0 by 18:27 ET, while Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones futures also rose 0.1% to 25,152.75 and 48,727.0, respectively.

    Netflix falls after issuing a weaker-than-expected outlook; more earnings reports ahead

    Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX) fell 4.8% despite reporting December-quarter earnings that topped market expectations, as its first-quarter guidance disappointed investors. The company pointed to weakening viewership for non-branded licensed content, signaling softer demand beyond its flagship in-house programming. Netflix’s outlook for 2026 also came in below expectations.

    The results arrive amid a wave of mixed corporate earnings over the past week, particularly among major U.S. banks. The fourth-quarter earnings season continues in the days ahead, with Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), Charles Schwab Corp (NYSE: SCHW), and Prologis Inc (NYSE: PLD) scheduled to report on Wednesday.

    On Thursday, earnings are due from Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT), and Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG). Elsewhere in Tuesday evening trading, United Airlines Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: UAL) jumped 5% after posting strong quarterly earnings and an upbeat outlook.

    Wall Street rattled by Trump–Greenland dispute

    Wall Street’s major indexes slumped sharply on Tuesday — the first trading day after a long weekend — as investors were unnerved by escalating geopolitical tensions tied to President Donald Trump’s aggressive push over Greenland and tariff threats against several European countries. The sell-off marked one of the market’s worst sessions in months, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq all posting significant declines amid heightened risk aversion.

    Trump’s plan to pressure European allies with new tariffs in an effort to secure U.S. leverage over Greenland drew strong rejection from European leaders and amplified fears of broader trade conflict, prompting a flight from risk assets.

    On the trading day, the S&P 500 dropped about 2.1%, the Nasdaq Composite slid nearly 2.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell roughly 1.8%. Tech and broader market stocks led the weakness, underscoring how geopolitical uncertainty can quickly sour sentiment across sectors.

    Sources: Investing

  • Bayer’s stock rose after the U.S. Supreme Court agreed to hear an appeal related to Roundup

    Bayer AG shares rose more than 7% on Monday after the U.S. Supreme Court agreed to hear the German group’s appeal in a pivotal Roundup weedkiller case, fueling optimism that a favorable decision could reduce the company’s long-standing legal burden.

    The U.S. Supreme Court said on Friday it will consider whether federal pesticide regulations override state-level failure-to-warn lawsuits when the Environmental Protection Agency has not mandated cancer warnings for glyphosate-based products.

    The case, known as Durnell, stems from an October 2023 Missouri jury ruling that found Monsanto—acquired by Bayer in 2018—did not adequately warn consumers about alleged cancer risks linked to Roundup, awarding $1.25 million in damages. Other allegations were dismissed, and the jury declined to impose punitive damages. A Missouri appeals court upheld the verdict in 2025.

    Bayer argues that permitting such claims weakens the EPA’s authority, noting the agency has repeatedly determined that glyphosate is unlikely to cause cancer in humans and has approved Roundup labeling without cancer warnings. The U.S. Solicitor General has supported Bayer’s stance, warning that the Missouri decision could allow juries to overrule federal scientific judgments.

    Investors viewed the Supreme Court’s move as a possible inflection point in litigation that has burdened Bayer’s valuation since its $63 billion purchase of Monsanto.

    Sources: Reuters

  • Asian stocks rattled by Trump’s Greenland tariff threats, China GDP provides limited support

    Most Asian equities declined on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump reignited global trade concerns by slapping tariffs on several major European countries over Greenland.

    Chinese stocks limited their losses after fourth-quarter GDP data came in above expectations, with the economy also meeting Beijing’s 2025 annual growth target of 5%.

    South Korean shares outperformed regional peers, driven by gains in chipmakers after U.S. memory giant Micron Technology said it would acquire a fabrication plant from Taiwan’s Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing for $1.8 billion.

    Other regional markets largely followed the slide in Wall Street futures after Trump’s tariff threat, with S&P 500 futures dropping as much as 1% during Asian trading. U.S. markets are closed on Monday for a public holiday.

    Asian stocks slip after Trump’s Greenland tariff move

    Japan’s Nikkei 225 and TOPIX fell 1% and 0.5%, respectively, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index declined 0.8%.

    Australia’s ASX 200 slipped 0.4%, Singapore’s Straits Times index lost 0.5%, and futures for India’s Nifty 50 dropped 0.4%.

    Over the weekend, Trump threatened to impose trade tariffs of up to 25% on several European countries, saying the measures would stay in place until an agreement was reached for the United States to acquire Greenland.

    European nations largely rejected Trump’s demands for the Danish territory, with France also reportedly preparing retaliatory economic steps against Washington.

    Trump’s tariff threats compounded already elevated geopolitical tensions worldwide, keeping investors cautious toward risk-sensitive assets. Gold prices surged to a record high on Monday amid strong safe-haven demand.

    Trump has repeatedly pressed for control of Greenland, arguing the territory is vital to U.S. national security. He has also floated the possibility of military action, a threat that appeared more credible following a U.S. incursion in Venezuela earlier this year.

    China stocks steady as 2025 GDP hits official target

    China’s CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite indexes traded within a narrow range on Monday after official data showed quarter-on-quarter GDP growth slightly exceeded expectations in the December period.

    GDP expanded 4.5% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, matching forecasts and bringing full-year 2025 growth to 5%, in line with Beijing’s target.

    The outcome was largely supported by resilient exports, as demand outside the United States remained strong, helping keep the manufacturing sector buoyant.

    Consumer activity was also aided by ongoing stimulus measures, as policymakers worked to reverse a prolonged post-COVID confidence slump.

    However, December data still pointed to uneven recovery, with fixed-asset investment contracting far more than expected and retail sales growth falling short of forecasts.

    South Korean shares jump on chipmaker rally after Micron deal

    South Korea’s KOSPI outperformed regional peers on Monday, climbing more than 1% on the back of gains in semiconductor stocks. SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, the country’s two largest chipmakers, rose 0.2% and 1.9%, respectively.

    Sentiment toward the memory-chip makers was boosted after rival Micron Technology announced a $1.8 billion investment to acquire a facility from Taiwan’s Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing.

    Powerchip shares jumped 10% in Taipei trading following the announcement. Elsewhere in Asia, chip stocks retreated on Monday but remained supported by gains from last week after strong earnings from industry bellwether TSMC.

    Sources: Investing

  • Chinese semiconductor stocks climbed following reports that sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips are facing restrictions

    Chinese semiconductor shares climbed on Wednesday after reports said Beijing will restrict purchases of Nvidia’s H200 AI chips to limited, special-use cases. The news largely outweighed an earlier announcement that the U.S. had cleared sales of the H200 to China.

    Shares of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp, the country’s largest chipmaker by output, rose nearly 2% in Hong Kong, while Hua Hong Semiconductor gained almost 5%. On the mainland, Cambricon Technologies and Moore Threads Technology—both promoted as domestic alternatives to Nvidia—also advanced.

    According to The Information, Chinese authorities have told local technology firms that H200 purchases will only be approved under exceptional circumstances, such as for university research and development facilities. This development muted the impact of the U.S. Commerce Department’s decision to allow H200 exports to China, a move previously hinted at by President Donald Trump in late December and accompanied by strict conditions.

    Beijing is seen as taking a cautious approach to the approval as it continues to pursue full self-reliance across the artificial intelligence supply chain, with chip manufacturing playing a central role due to the heavy computing demands of AI development and deployment. Although China made progress in chip production in 2025, it is still widely regarded as far from achieving complete technological independence.

    Chinese technology stocks have advanced over the past week, driven by a wave of high-profile IPOs from leading domestic AI companies that boosted confidence in the sector’s growth outlook. The rally extended on Wednesday, with MiniMax Group and Zhipu—listed as Knowledge Atlas— the first of China’s so-called “AI tigers” to go public, climbing 4.4% and 17%, respectively.

    Sources: Investing

  • S&P 500: Low Trading Volume and Limited Volatility Hinder Expectations for a Market Breakout

    The VIX 1-Day index closed below 10 on Monday, indicating that if a significant price surge follows the CPI report, it is unlikely to be driven initially by increased implied volatility. Instead, any substantial move would need to be supported by actual buying activity rather than a rise in volatility. However, volatility could still spike overnight, setting the stage for the familiar CPI-driven market reaction.

    The S&P 500 appears stable for now, but I don’t believe this is the significant breakout many have anticipated since late October. Currently, the index hasn’t even fully cleared resistance at the trendline by a single bar. We witnessed similar patterns at the beginning of 2022 and 2025.

    The market could keep inching up by 10, 20, or even 30 basis points, but considering the unusually low levels of both realized and implied volatility, along with one-month implied correlation at just 7, the odds aren’t in favor of a strong move. Monday’s trading volume in S&P 500 futures was so thin, it felt like December 22 all over again.

    It seems the authorities have the ability to push the 3-month VIX back down to its July 2024 lows.

    Perhaps those same market forces can drive the 1-month implied correlation down to 2.

    Alternatively, the VXTLT bond market volatility index might decline to levels unseen since 2019.

    The main takeaway is that, in my opinion, the market’s current structure is not set up for a sharp, explosive rally. While it may continue to grind upward, eventually volatility is likely to mean-revert higher, triggering a pullback similar to the one seen from late October into November.

    Interestingly, despite numerous challenges in the oil market over the past four years, XLE has largely avoided a significant breakdown, instead trading mostly sideways throughout this period. If oil prices were to break out decisively and start climbing, it could signal a strong bullish trend for the sector. Currently, XLE is approaching a critical resistance level and merits close attention.

    This could prove significant if oil’s breakout above the downtrend sustains and prices start climbing back into the $60 range. For now, $55 seems to be a support level, and oil remains one of the few commodities yet to make a notable upward move. It’s definitely worth monitoring for potential gains.

    Sources: Mott Capital Management

  • 2026 Forecast: Economic Trends, Corporate Earnings, and the Optimistic Case for Stocks

    With holiday decorations packed away and investment professionals back at their desks, the serious market work for 2026 is officially underway. So far, investor sentiment appears optimistic, as the S&P 500 has posted a 1.76% gain—a promising start to the year.

    Looking ahead, nearly every major Wall Street firm forecasts another strong year for stocks. While leadership within the market may shift, the broad consensus remains that stock prices are poised for healthy gains in 2026.

    You might wonder how this optimism holds up amid concerns about AI bubbles, geopolitical tensions, inflation, and lofty valuations. Having wrestled with this question myself, I believe it’s worthwhile to step back and review the fundamental drivers underpinning the stock market.

    From my experience managing money for over 40 years, I’ve learned that while short-term market movements are nearly impossible to predict, understanding the broader macroeconomic environment helps to get the major market moves “mostly right, most of the time.” Simply put, aligning with the dominant primary market cycle is my foremost objective in this line of work.

    So, without wasting any time, let’s briefly review the key macro drivers: the economy, corporate earnings, inflation, the Fed and interest rates, and, naturally, valuations.

    Since there’s quite a bit to cover—and I doubt many of you want to read a 5,000-word report on a Monday morning—I’ve decided to split this analysis into several parts. Today, we’ll begin with a focus on the economy and corporate earnings.

    Overview of the Economy

    The U.S. economy is generally divided into three main sectors: manufacturing, consumers, and government. Of these, the consumer sector—also known as the services sector—is by far the largest, accounting for roughly 70% of overall economic activity in the United States.

    Because of this, the sluggish manufacturing sector, which has been in a prolonged slowdown, is less of a concern. While an improvement there would be welcome, consumer sentiment remains the primary driver of economic growth today.

    It’s also important to highlight that high-income earners now dominate consumer spending. Reports indicate that the wealthiest individuals account for just over 50%—a record high—of all U.S. consumer expenditures. These affluent consumers are less sensitive to price increases and tend to maintain their spending habits despite inflation.

    Indeed, the labor market has shown signs of weakening, which could eventually affect consumer spending. However, current evidence suggests that job market softness is primarily impacting lower-income consumers at this stage. This situation remains fluid—if job losses accelerate, the services sector would likely feel the impact. But for now, this hasn’t been the case.

    The key takeaway is that despite negative headlines, the economy appears to be performing well. U.S. GDP growth was strong last year, moving from a slight contraction of -0.6% in Q1 to +3.8% in Q2 and +4.3% in Q3.

    More recently, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model—a real-time GDP estimate—registered a robust +5.4% last week.

    From my perspective, anyone claiming the economy is weak or unstable is overlooking the actual data.

    Company Earnings Reports

    Earnings are often described as the lifeblood of the stock market, making it crucial to stay informed about corporate profit trends. To get straight to the point, corporate earnings are very strong—remarkably so.

    For example, Q3 results showed about a 15% increase, significantly surpassing analyst expectations.

    Looking forward, consensus estimates from Wall Street analysts predict that S&P 500 companies will see earnings grow by approximately 17.3% in 2026. Quite impressive.

    Of course, analysts rarely get their projections exactly right. Estimates often start off too optimistic and are revised downward over time. So, it would be unwise to assume that 2026 earnings per share (EPS) will definitively rise by 17% compared to last year.

    The important takeaway is that EPS growth is still expected to be strong this year—significantly above the historical average. (Goldman Sachs recently released a report titled “2026: An Earnings Story.”) My view is that as long as earnings come reasonably close to these expectations, there should be plenty of room for stocks to advance.

    Is There Further Upside Potential?

    The key question is how much further the stock indices can climb. While I’ll address valuations in the coming weeks, it’s clear to everyone that current stock multiples are quite high. This likely explains why Wall Street analysts are forecasting relatively modest gains of around 10% for the year—roughly in line with the S&P’s average annual return since 1980—even with anticipated earnings growth.

    Given the strong economic outlook and expected earnings growth, it’s difficult for me to take a negative stance on the stock market.

    That said, it might be prudent to temper enthusiasm somewhat due to elevated valuations. However, from a broader perspective, I believe the best approach is to stay on the bullish path and trust the market leaders to navigate any near-term challenges.

    What shapes our lives are the questions we ask, refuse to ask, or never think to ask.

    Sam Keen

    Sources: Investing

  • Nvidia: Its Potential to Revive the Autonomous Driving Sector in the United States

    The self-driving car industry has experienced a cycle of high hopes, costly setbacks, and ongoing delays. From Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) frequent missed deadlines to General Motors (NYSE:GM) shutting down its Cruise autonomous division following a pedestrian accident, achieving fully autonomous vehicles has been much tougher than early developers expected.

    However, a fresh wave of innovation driven by artificial intelligence and strategic collaborations is revitalizing this groundbreaking technology.

    At the forefront of this resurgence is Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), the chipmaker whose leadership in AI computing is now expanding into the automotive sector, providing Western car manufacturers with a potential way to rival China’s rapidly progressing autonomous driving advancements.

    The Present State of Autonomous Driving in the U.S.

    The U.S. self-driving industry is currently at a critical juncture, with only a few companies still seriously competing. In 2019, Tesla CEO Elon Musk confidently predicted that a million autonomous vehicles would be on the roads within a year. However, the company only rolled out a limited robotaxi pilot program in late 2025, falling six years behind schedule. A major challenge has been the countless unpredictable scenarios, known as edge cases, that can confuse autonomous systems.

    Traditional automakers have mostly pulled back from the sector. General Motors shut down its Cruise autonomous division following a serious incident where one of its vehicles hit and dragged a pedestrian.

    Similarly, Ford Motor ceased its internal autonomous vehicle projects, choosing to withdraw from the capital-heavy competition. Alphabet’s (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Waymo remains the only company maintaining consistent operations, currently offering Level 4 robotaxi services in several U.S. cities.

    At the same time, China has made significant advances supported by strong government backing and rapid deployment. Chinese automakers now account for about seventy percent of global electric vehicle production, while companies such as BYD, Baidu, and Pony.ai are growing their robotaxi services throughout Asia and the Middle East.

    The Chinese government recently authorized two vehicles with Level 3 autonomous driving capabilities, permitting hands-free driving. This regulatory endorsement, along with better network infrastructure and more affordable costs, has established China as a rising leader in autonomous technology.

    Nvidia’s Self-Driving Platform: Revolutionizing the Industry

    At CES 2026 in Las Vegas, Nvidia introduced its solution to the autonomous driving challenge: the Alpamayo platform. Simply put, Alpamayo is a comprehensive toolkit that enables automakers to develop self-driving systems without starting from zero.

    The platform features reasoning models that help vehicles interpret and respond to their environment, simulation tools for safely testing various scenarios, and datasets for training the AI. It can process data from cameras and radar sensors to make decisions on steering, braking, and acceleration while also providing explanations for its choices.

    What makes Alpamayo especially noteworthy is that Nvidia has made it open-source, allowing any company to use and adapt it freely. This approach contrasts sharply with Tesla’s proprietary model.

    Industry experts liken this to the smartphone battle between Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) closed ecosystem and Android’s open platform. By offering a shared foundation, Nvidia empowers automakers to concentrate on differentiating their products rather than reinventing fundamental technology, potentially speeding up the entire industry’s development.

    The platform is quickly gaining momentum. Mercedes-Benz revealed that its upcoming CLA model will incorporate AI-driven driving features powered by Nvidia’s technology, set to hit U.S. roads later this year. Additionally, a robotaxi partnership involving Lucid Group, Nuro, and Uber plans to leverage Nvidia’s chips and platform.

    Ali Kani, Nvidia’s general manager of the automotive division, expressed optimism that recent fundamental AI improvements have resolved critical issues that once hindered self-driving technology, indicating the industry might be nearing a major breakthrough.

    NVDA Share Forecast and What Investors Should Know

    Nvidia’s stock mirrors its leading position in several AI-driven markets. As of January 2026, NVDA shares are trading around $185 each, with a market cap near $4.5 trillion, ranking it among the world’s most valuable companies.

    The stock has delivered remarkable returns, rising more than 32% in the past year and an impressive 1,297% over five years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500’s 81% gain during the same timeframe.

    Despite its high valuation, key financial indicators remain strong. In Q3 FY26, Nvidia reported revenues of $57 billion and earnings of $31.8 billion, surpassing analyst expectations for earnings per share by four cents.

    The trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at about 46, while the forward P/E is 24, reflecting the market’s high growth expectations. However, a PEG ratio of 0.70 indicates that the stock’s valuation could be reasonable relative to its anticipated earnings growth. Nvidia continues to demonstrate strong profitability, with a profit margin above 53% and a return on equity exceeding 100%.

    Analysts generally hold a positive outlook on Nvidia’s future. The average price target of $252 suggests about a 36% potential increase from current levels, with forecasts ranging from $140 on the low side to $352 at the high end. Most analysts have Buy or Strong Buy ratings, highlighting sustained strong demand for AI infrastructure.

    While Nvidia’s automotive division offers a growing avenue beyond its core data center business, investors should be aware that the stock exhibits high volatility, with a beta of 2.31. The upcoming earnings report on February 25, 2026, is expected to shed more light on the company’s progress.

    Sources: Investing

  • S&P 500 Maintains Wave Pattern as Market Eyes Peak in Spring 2026

    In our December report, we combined the Elliott Wave (EW) Principle with average midterm election-year seasonality and the Armstrong Pi-cycle turn dates to analyze the S&P 500 (SPX). We concluded that:

    “… As long as the index remains above the November 21 low of 6720, it can position itself for a subdividing final 5th wave (gray waves W-i, ii, iii, iv, and v), potentially reaching as high as 7490 around April 18-28, 2026.”

    Since then, the SPX has risen nearly 2% and appears to be unfolding as expected. With new price data now available, we have revised our short- to intermediate-term EW count but kept the same ultimate upside target range of approximately 7345-7490. Please refer to Figure 1 below.

    Figure 1: Intermediate Elliott Wave analysis for the SPX.

    Assuming the price stays above the specified warning levels*, with each additional breach raising the probability of the uptrend ending by 20%, we anticipate the index to ideally reach around 7100 for the blue W-iii wave, then decline to roughly 7015 for the blue W-iv wave, followed by a rally to approximately 7160 ± 40 for the orange W-3 wave, and so on. The current pattern depicts a standard impulse wave; however, the green W-5 wave could potentially form an overlapping ending diagonal, leading to an overlapping rally toward the lower boundary of the target zone (around 7345). At this stage, there is no sign that this scenario will unfold. Nevertheless, it’s important to note that once the green W-5 completes—expected around April 18-28—we anticipate a bear market similar to that of 2022 before a larger, multi-year rally to new all-time highs can commence.

    Sources: Investing

  • Zenas Biopharma (ZBIO) CEO Moulder Invests $1.63 Million in Company Stock

    Zenas BioPharma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZBIO) disclosed in a Form 4 filing that Chief Executive Officer Leon O. Moulder Jr. acquired 100,000 shares of the company’s common stock across three transactions between January 7 and January 9, 2026. The total value of the purchases was approximately $1.639 million, with share prices ranging from $16.30 to $16.55.

    Moulder bought 50,000 shares on January 7 at a weighted average price of $16.38, through multiple trades executed between $16.21 and $16.53. On January 8, he added 30,000 shares at an average price of $16.30, with individual transactions ranging from $15.82 to $16.60. The final purchase occurred on January 9, when he acquired 20,000 shares at a weighted average of $16.55, with prices between $16.05 and $16.87.

    After these transactions, Moulder directly holds 366,155 shares of ZBIO stock. He also has voting and investment authority over an additional 36,928 shares held in a trust and 1,672,039 shares held indirectly through Tellus BioVentures LLC.

    Separately, Zenas BioPharma recently announced favorable results from its Phase 3 INDIGO study of obexelimab for Immunoglobulin G4-Related Disease (IgG4-RD). The trial showed a 56% decrease in flare risk versus placebo and met all primary and secondary endpoints with statistical significance. However, Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock from Overweight to Equalweight and reduced its price target from $37 to $19, noting that the reported hazard ratio of 0.44 did not fully meet investor expectations.

    In contrast, H.C. Wainwright reiterated its Buy rating and set a $44.00 price target, highlighting the trial’s clinically meaningful outcomes. Jefferies likewise maintained a Buy recommendation but lowered its target from $62.00 to $48.00, citing a higher-than-expected proportion of recurrent patients in the study. Analyst responses have been mixed, underscoring differing views on the trial’s implications. The study enrolled 194 participants and delivered notable reductions in investigator-reported flares as well as in the need for rescue therapy.

    Sources: Investing

  • Japanese Candlesticks

    Japanese Candlesticks are a type of price chart used in financial markets to show how an asset’s price moves over a specific period of time. They are one of the most popular tools in technical analysis because they visually display market psychology—who is in control: buyers or sellers.

    Origin

    Japanese candlesticks were developed in Japan in the 18th century, originally used by rice traders. They were later introduced to Western markets by Steve Nison in the 1990s.

    Why Candlesticks Are Powerful

    • Easy to read and interpret
    • Show market sentiment instantly
    • Help identify trend reversals and continuations
    • Work across all markets and timeframes

    Used in
    📈 Stocks
    💱 Forex
    🪙 Crypto
    🛢️ Commodities


    Common Candlestick Patterns


    Best Practice

    Candlestick patterns are most effective when combined with:

    • Trend analysis
    • Support & resistance
    • Volume
    • Indicators (RSI, MACD, Moving Averages)

    Simple Definition

    Japanese candlesticks are a visual price charting method that shows market psychology through price action.

  • This Week’s Top Buy and Sell Picks: AMD (Buy), Cal‑Maine Foods (Sell)

    • This week’s highlights include the U.S. jobs report, ISM PMI surveys, and the CES Conference.
    • AMD is a recommended buy, driven by expected AI innovations presented in CEO Lisa Su’s CES keynote.
    • Cal-Maine Foods is a sell candidate ahead of a potentially disappointing earnings report and a weak outlook.

    Wall Street’s major indexes closed mostly higher on Friday, the first trading day of 2026, boosted by gains in semiconductor and AI-related stocks. However, all three indexes still recorded slight declines for the week.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.7%, the S&P 500 dropped 1%, the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite fell 1.5%, and the small-cap Russell 2000 declined 1%.

    The first full trading week of 2026 promises to be busy, with monthly jobs data taking center stage. Economists forecast nonfarm job growth of 54,000 for January, down from 67,000 in December, while the unemployment rate is expected to decrease to 4.5% from 4.6%. Additionally, the ISM manufacturing and services PMIs will be closely monitored by investors.

    On the earnings front, only a few companies are scheduled to report this week, including Constellation Brands, Cal-Maine Foods, Jefferies Financial Group, Albertsons, and Applied Digital.

    Meanwhile, investors in the tech and consumer sectors will be closely watching the CES conference in Las Vegas. Key companies to watch for product launches, strategic updates, and AI developments include Nvidia, AMD, Intel, Qualcomm, Meta Platforms, Samsung, LG, Sony, and Motorola.

    No matter how the market moves, below I highlight one stock expected to gain interest and another that may face further declines. Keep in mind, my outlook is limited to the upcoming week, Monday, January 5 through Friday, January 9.

    Stock to Buy: Advanced Micro Devices

    AMD stands out as a strong buy this week, with the 2026 Consumer Electronics Show (CES) acting as a key catalyst. The highlight will be CEO Dr. Lisa Su’s opening keynote on Monday at 6:30 PM PT (9:30 PM ET).

    Su is expected to present AMD’s vision for AI solutions across cloud, enterprise, edge, and devices, potentially unveiling new advancements in AI chips and related technologies. Historically, AMD shares tend to rally during the week of its major product announcements, often followed by multiple analyst upgrades.

    Analysts remain optimistic, with a consensus Strong Buy rating supported by 40 Buy and 11 Hold recommendations, suggesting a 26.5% upside potential for 2026. TD Cowen recently named AMD among its top AI picks, setting a price target of $290.

    Fundamentally, AMD’s growth is driven by its AI product portfolio, including the MI300 series accelerators, which are gaining ground against rivals like Nvidia.

    AMD shares closed Friday at $223.47. From a technical standpoint, the stock has demonstrated resilience, recovering from mid-2025 lows near $150 to its current level, supported by strong trading volume. If the upcoming keynote meets expectations with announcements like new partnerships or product roadmaps, AMD could soon challenge its 52-week high around $270.

    AMD holds a Financial Health Score of 2.98 (“GOOD”), indicating a solid balance sheet and strong operating momentum driven by excitement around its next-generation AI products.

    Stock to Sell: Cal-Maine Foods

    Cal-Maine Foods starts the week at $78.47, hovering near its 52-week low, as Wall Street anticipates a weak earnings report and a bleak outlook. The company faces headwinds including rising feed costs, supply chain challenges, and variable demand.

    The largest U.S. producer and distributor of shell eggs is set to release its fiscal second-quarter results before the market opens on Wednesday at 6:00 AM ET, followed by a conference call at 9:00 AM ET.

    Cal-Maine is projected to report earnings of $2.08 per share, a sharp 53.5% decline from $4.47 a year ago, driven by higher input costs and fluctuating demand. Revenue is expected to drop 14.7% year-over-year to $814.2 million, amid ongoing egg price volatility and potential disruptions from recent avian flu outbreaks that have affected supply chains.

    Looking forward, the company’s guidance is likely to reflect continued uncertainty around production normalization and cost control, posing further challenges for investor confidence and stock performance.

    Technically, CALM has slipped below key support levels, accompanied by declining volume that indicates weakening investor interest. Its one-year target price of $95.50 offers limited upside, but the risks from a disappointing earnings report outweigh potential gains.

    With the likelihood of underwhelming results and cautious guidance, CALM is a sell this week to avoid volatility driven by these events.

    Whether you’re a beginner investor or an experienced trader, using InvestingPro can help you uncover investment opportunities while managing risks in this challenging market environment.

    Sources: Investing